Thursday, August 18, 2011

Market view





Markets did gap up , then breakout to last 3 days highs , but then came sharp down again to 1190 level before getting flat end of day.

Either way - markets did quite nothing today other than just moving sideways for another day....

Usually from what I learned in the past - when markets has been down up huge (From 1100 SPX to 1200 SPX) and then moving sideways/down - thats usually a bullish consolidating pattern before breaking out higher.

So the game is still to buy the dips and accumulate , as I think markets warming up for a bigger break above 1210 to move to 1260 next which is my first objective target.

Markets usually stretching both bulls and bears - and 1200 where the first logical plays to go short in markets - I dont think they will make it so easy for the shorts.... we really need to make some big bears cover - so we are going to se a rip off rally to 1260 soon.

We have a big support area 1170-1180 as stated before - if we go down to 1170 we might have an inverted HS pattern forming with the right shoulder in - but I still believe we are close to reach 1260.

This pattern since the bottom might also be a kind of "cup and handle" in the works ....

The chart pattern targets we broke out of is still 126 on SPY - looking at euro FXE right at neckline , a breakout above this neckline seems likely... target 150 FXE. Also TRAN looks bullish to me , cup and handle + pullback , right below trendline and ready to rock hard... imho.

Conclusion: Either way how you break it up , IF we pullback - BUY it - stay long and Im long from TNA 37-38 still swing trade where I added 44.8.

By the way Im looking for a near term drop in Gold and Silver soon from here ( some weeks )

Have a nice day

5 comments:

  1. Hi Sqwii, when do you think the projection of SPY 126 will be reached? By next week when your Fib cycle hits?

    Appreciate your work and your blog. Thanks!

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  2. Garesky

    SPY 126 could very likely be next week , my fib cycle hits end of next week - so there is still time for a pullback before higher.

    Markets down right now pre-market to 1177 on futures - so as long markets stays above 1170 its about to buy the dips. Remember its OPEX week and we have some wild swings up and down - so we might even start to rally before weekend above the highs recently.

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  3. 1161 pre futures, so we don't buy the dips anymore, and wave 5 to come ?

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  4. I'm a buyer on this morning dip today - but lets see how markets is opening today :-)

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  5. Are you still a buyer this morning Sqwii? it dropped like a waterfall this morning.

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